Water could become the Gulf's next battlefield

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  By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis Water Could Become the Gulf's Next Battlefield As missiles target desalination plants, the Middle East's next strategic conflict may be fought not over oil—but over water. The Iran-Israel-U.S. conflict has revealed a new strategic vulnerability in the Gulf: desalination plants. Water security is rapidly becoming a core national security issue. For decades, oil has defined the geopolitics of the Persian Gulf. Yet the recent conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States has exposed another critical vulnerability that could shape future wars: water infrastructure. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states are among the most water-scarce countries in the world. With virtually no permanent rivers and minimal rainfall, countries such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar rely overwhelmingly on desalination plants to supply drinking water to nearly 100 million people. During the latest regional ...

Iraq's Washington Gamble: Can Al-Zaidi Deliver a New Strategic Partnership with the United States?



By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj

As tensions in the Strait of Hormuz reshape global energy markets, Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi arrives in Washington with an ambitious agenda that could redefine Iraq's geopolitical future.

Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi's Washington visit signals Iraq's push for deeper U.S. security, energy, and investment ties amid mounting regional tensions.

Iraq Arrives in Washington at a Defining Geopolitical Moment

When Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi landed in Washington this week, he carried far more than a diplomatic agenda.

He arrived at a moment when the Middle East is undergoing one of its most profound strategic realignments since the defeat of ISIS.

Wars continue to reshape regional alliances. Energy markets remain vulnerable to disruption. The future of the Strait of Hormuz has become a global concern. Competition between the United States, China, Iran, and Gulf states is intensifying.

Against this backdrop, Baghdad is seeking to reposition itself—not as a battlefield for competing powers, but as a regional economic and energy hub.

The success or failure of this visit could influence Iraq's trajectory for years to come.

More Than a Diplomatic Courtesy Visit

Unlike routine bilateral meetings, Al-Zaidi's delegation reflects the breadth of Iraq's strategic ambitions.

Joining the Prime Minister are:

  • Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein;
  • Finance Minister;
  • Oil Minister;
  • Electricity Minister;
  • Trade Minister;
  • Governor of the Central Bank;
  • National Security Adviser;
  • senior parliamentary leaders;
  • economic advisers;
  • Harem Kamal Agha, head of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) bloc in Iraq's Parliament and chairman of the parliamentary Oil and Gas Committee.

The composition of the delegation reveals Baghdad's priorities.

Security remains essential.

But economics now appears to be taking center stage.

Energy Is the Central Theme

Although official statements describe discussions covering security, politics, investment, and regional cooperation, energy is expected to dominate the talks.

Iraq possesses the world's fifth-largest proven oil reserves yet continues to face chronic electricity shortages, infrastructure bottlenecks, and underinvestment in natural gas.

Washington increasingly views Iraq's energy independence as essential to reducing Iranian influence.

Meanwhile, Baghdad hopes to attract billions of dollars in American investment across:

  • upstream oil development;
  • natural gas production;
  • electricity generation;
  • renewable energy;
  • petrochemicals;
  • digital infrastructure.

Several reports suggest new agreements involving major international energy companies could emerge from the visit.

If finalized, they would strengthen Iraq's long-term production capacity while supporting broader economic diversification.

The Strait of Hormuz Changes Everything

The timing of the visit is no coincidence.

Regional tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to influence global energy calculations.

Any disruption to Gulf shipping immediately affects international oil prices and energy security.

For Washington, strengthening Iraq's production capacity provides an additional layer of resilience should maritime routes face future instability.

For Iraq, the situation creates an opportunity.

As investors seek reliable alternative production, Baghdad hopes to present itself as a stable supplier capable of increasing exports over the coming decade.

Security Cooperation Enters a New Phase

Military cooperation between Iraq and the United States has evolved significantly since the campaign against ISIS.

Today's agenda extends well beyond counterterrorism.

Expected discussions include:

  • intelligence sharing;
  • cybersecurity;
  • border security;
  • protection of critical energy infrastructure;
  • defense modernization;
  • regional de-escalation.

Washington continues encouraging Iraq to strengthen state institutions capable of resisting pressure from both extremist organizations and competing regional actors.

Baghdad, meanwhile, seeks continued security cooperation while maintaining balanced relations with neighboring Iran.

Iraq's Delicate Balancing Strategy

Perhaps the greatest challenge facing Prime Minister Al-Zaidi is geopolitical balance.

Iraq maintains important relationships with:

  • the United States;
  • Iran;
  • Turkey;
  • Gulf Cooperation Council states;
  • China.

Each partnership serves different national interests.

Baghdad increasingly seeks to avoid choosing sides in broader geopolitical rivalries.

Instead, Iraq's leadership promotes a strategy centered on:

  • economic diplomacy;
  • infrastructure connectivity;
  • investment attraction;
  • regional mediation.

The Washington visit therefore represents one component of a broader foreign policy designed to maximize strategic flexibility.

Kurdistan's Quiet Importance

One notable feature of the delegation is the inclusion of Harem Kamal Agha, chairman of Parliament's Oil and Gas Committee and head of the PUK bloc.

His presence underscores the continued importance of Kurdish energy issues within Iraq's national strategy.

With exports from the Iraq–Turkey pipeline still awaiting a comprehensive political solution, discussions involving Iraq's broader hydrocarbon sector inevitably carry implications for the Kurdistan Region.

American officials have long supported negotiated arrangements capable of restoring exports while preserving Iraq's constitutional framework.

Whether those discussions occur publicly or behind closed doors, Kurdistan's energy future is unlikely to be absent from Washington's agenda.

Investment May Be the Biggest Prize

Security cooperation often dominates headlines.

Investment may ultimately prove the visit's greatest achievement.

Baghdad hopes to convince American companies that Iraq is entering a period of greater political and economic stability.

Priority sectors include:

  • oil and gas;
  • electricity;
  • infrastructure;
  • transportation;
  • financial services;
  • telecommunications;
  • artificial intelligence;
  • logistics.

Attracting sustained foreign investment remains essential if Iraq hopes to create employment opportunities for its rapidly growing young population.

Why Washington Is Paying Attention

The United States increasingly views Iraq through a broader regional lens.

A stronger Iraqi economy supports several American strategic objectives:

  • reducing regional instability;
  • limiting external influence over Iraqi institutions;
  • strengthening global energy security;
  • expanding private-sector investment;
  • encouraging long-term political stability.

Rather than focusing exclusively on military engagement, Washington now emphasizes economic partnerships capable of reinforcing Iraq's sovereignty through development.

Strategic Analysis

Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi's visit reflects a significant evolution in Iraq's foreign policy.

For much of the past two decades, Iraq's engagement with Washington centered primarily on security.

Today's agenda is considerably broader.

Energy, investment, financial cooperation, infrastructure, technology, and economic modernization now occupy equal importance.

The visit also highlights Iraq's emerging role as a pivotal middle power navigating competition among the United States, Iran, China, Turkey, and Gulf states.

Success will ultimately be measured not by joint statements but by tangible outcomes:

  • new investment agreements;
  • expanded energy cooperation;
  • improved electricity infrastructure;
  • strengthened institutional partnerships;
  • progress toward resolving longstanding oil disputes.

If Baghdad can translate diplomatic engagement into economic transformation, this Washington visit may mark the beginning of a new chapter in U.S.–Iraq relations.

If not, it risks becoming another symbolic summit overshadowed by the region's enduring geopolitical rivalries.

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