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Is a third wave of US-Iran war inevitable?

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  Any new military operation launched by the United States will not succeed unless the Iranian regime is overthrown in the process. Without the fall of the regime, Iran will celebrate a major American defeat, become the dominant power in the region, and the United States will be unable to return to its military bases or regain its previous political and economic weight in the area. This is very clear and evident within the United States, which is currently in the third wave of preparations for a military operation and a larger war, being prepared with greater precision than before. It is one of the most complex decisions the United States will make since the 2003 invasion of Iraq — this is the third round of this conflict. The 12-day war that Trump and Netanyahu launched against Iran was planned to last only 100 hours, enough time for the regime to fall and a new party to come to power that would hand everything over to the United States — including oil, the nuclear program, and lo...

France, where to?

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Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj The Nelson Mandela high school in the city of Nantes, France, was built as a modern and innovative building at the enormous cost of 75 million euros. Five architectural consulting firms designed the plans for this unique wooden building, which included indoor sections, a sports hall, a climbing wall for ascending, and various advanced laboratories. But apparently all this luxury and blessing was not enough; and this week, in the riots in France that were supposedly for “improving the state of education,” it was set on fire! In this wave of unrest, a quarter of France’s high schools suffered damage. So far, hundreds of police officers and firefighters have been injured, thousands of people have been arrested, and countless destruction has been created across France. France has a long history with riots, but it seems that this time it is not merely “another normal phase.” According to a leaked police intelligence report, these riots are systematic preparation and train...

Iraq’s Dinar Devaluation: The Geopolitical Economics of a Weaker Currency

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Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj  Iraq’s dinar devaluation reveals deeper fiscal, geopolitical and Baghdad-Erbil pressures shaping the country’s economic future. Iraq’s decision to reset its exchange-rate structure and move the official dollar rate toward 1,500 Iraqi dinars is more than a technical monetary adjustment. It is a response to a broader strategic problem: a state whose political system, public finances and economic stability remain heavily dependent on oil revenues, dollar liquidity and an increasingly difficult regional environment. The immediate effect is straightforward. The government now receives more dinars for every dollar of oil revenue. But the geopolitical consequences are more complicated. The measure changes the relationship between Baghdad and the population, between the federal government and the Kurdistan Region, and between Iraq's domestic economy and the wider regional dollar market. The decision therefore needs to be understood as part of Iraq's struggle to pres...

The U.S. Withdrawal Tests Kurdish Unity and the Future of the Peshmerga

 Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj On September 21, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq officially announced the completion of the long-delayed unification and reorganization of its Peshmerga paramilitary forces under the Ministry of Peshmerga Affairs (MoPA). The Peshmerga are Kurdish armed forces, with roots going back to Kurdish guerrillas who fought as a more or less united front against successive Iraqi governments for most of the 20th century. After the 2003 invasion, though, they never came together as one Kurdish national army. Instead, they split into two separate party forces, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) and the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), each tied to one of the region's dominant political factions. Kurdish leaders hailed the September unification announcement as a historic victory for the Kurds in Iraq. Notably, the unification happened nine days before the final U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq. The timing raises an important question: as Washington shrinks its di...

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