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Showing posts with the label #MiddleEast #geopolitics

Iran’s diplomacy strategy: negotiation as leverage, not concession

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  By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis     Tehran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz raise a larger question: when Iran enters negotiations, is it seeking a settlement—or buying time to reshape the battlefield? Iran’s advocates of diplomacy often present negotiations with Tehran as the obvious alternative to escalation. Their argument is straightforward: pressure creates instability, while dialogue can produce compromise. Yet that argument becomes considerably more complicated when examined against the historical behavior of the Islamic Republic. Iran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz reveal how Tehran may use diplomacy, coercive leverage and negotiations to divide opponents, extract concessions and buy time.  The central question is not whether Iran is willing to talk. It clearly is.  The more consequential question is what Tehran seeks to achieve by talking . A long record of Iranian engagement with the United States and regional powers suggests ...

Why Trump Is reportedly frustrated With General Dan Caine — And who the General really Is?

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     Why Trump Is Reportedly Frustrated With General Dan Caine — And Who the General Really Is? The evolving relationship between Donald Trump and Dan Caine has become one of the most important—and revealing—dynamics shaping U.S. military strategy during the ongoing Iran conflict. Once seen as one of Trump’s most trusted military advisers, General Caine now appears to be at the center of growing frustration inside the White House. But the reasons are more complex than simple disagreement—they reflect a deeper clash between political expectations and military reality . Why Trump Is Frustrated With General Dan Caine The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Didn’t Go as Planned A major source of tension stems from the continued disruption of the Strait of Hormuz , one of the world’s most critical oil chokepoints.  Trump reportedly expected rapid U.S. control of the region after military escalation.  Instead, Iran has maintained the ability to disrupt shipping using asy...

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