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Iran’s diplomacy strategy: negotiation as leverage, not concession

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  By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis     Tehran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz raise a larger question: when Iran enters negotiations, is it seeking a settlement—or buying time to reshape the battlefield? Iran’s advocates of diplomacy often present negotiations with Tehran as the obvious alternative to escalation. Their argument is straightforward: pressure creates instability, while dialogue can produce compromise. Yet that argument becomes considerably more complicated when examined against the historical behavior of the Islamic Republic. Iran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz reveal how Tehran may use diplomacy, coercive leverage and negotiations to divide opponents, extract concessions and buy time.  The central question is not whether Iran is willing to talk. It clearly is.  The more consequential question is what Tehran seeks to achieve by talking . A long record of Iranian engagement with the United States and regional powers suggests ...

Which country is the biggest loser from the energy shock?

Energy Shock Exposes Vulnerabilities as Import-Dependent Economies Bear the Brunt. Poorer, energy-importing countries emerge as biggest losers from global supply disruption triggered by Iran conflict.  We rank the poor world's exposure and buffers ERBIL, April 3 (Kurdish Policy Analysis) – The global energy shock triggered by the Iran conflict is disproportionately hitting poorer, import-dependent economies, exposing deep structural vulnerabilities in the global energy system, according to analysis by The Economist . As oil and gas prices surge following disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz—one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints—countries heavily reliant on imported fuel are facing mounting economic pressure. The crisis has been described as one of the largest supply disruptions in modern energy history, affecting roughly a fifth of global oil flows. The analysis highlights that the biggest losers are not necessarily those directly involved in the conflict, but econo...

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