Trump and Xi Jingping summit: How are the United States and China redefining their relationship?

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As tensions over trade, Taiwan, technology, and global influence intensify, the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping may determine the future balance of power between Washington and Beijing. By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Sulaimani, Iraq | 13 May 2026 — Kurdish Policy Analysis "We don't have permanent allies and we don't have permanent enemies, only our interests are permanent, and we have to follow them." – Henry John Temple. The root of the current Strait of Hormuz tensions is not only about shipping routes or oil prices, but also about the final collapse of the historical US concept towards Beijing. However, the 2025 National Security Strategy, released by the White House in November, says this was a historic mistake because China used the assets it accumulated to strengthen itself and compete with the West, not to become their partner. For many years, the United States alone maintained maritime security; The fifth US ship in Manama, Bahrain, worked only to keep o...

IRAN'S DEEP STATE AND WHY IT BUILT TWO ARMIES... ON PURPOSE

     IRAN BUILT TWO ARMIES... ON PURPOSE



    The question people keep asking (usually with the casual arrogance of a superpower) is deceptively simple: Why not just invade Iran?    

The question reveals more about the ignorance of the person asking than about the country being discussed.    

Because Iran was not built like Iraq. It was engineered like a fortress.

Most countries have a single military hierarchy. Iran deliberately does not.

After the 1979 revolution that overthrew the Shah, the new leadership faced a problem that revolutionary regimes always fear: a coup from the old army. The solution was structural paranoia.

Iran created two parallel militaries.

One is the Artesh, the conventional national army. Its job resembles that of any traditional military: defend borders, operate tanks, manage naval fleets, and maintain air defense networks. The regular army alone includes roughly 350,000 ground troops, plus naval and air personnel. 

But the Artesh does not guard the regime.

That responsibility belongs to an entirely different institution: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or the IRGC.

The IRGC was created in 1979 with a very specific mandate: ensure the survival of the revolution. 

It is not simply a military unit. It is a hybrid organism—part army, part intelligence service, part economic conglomerate.

The IRGC maintains its own ground forces, aerospace units controlling Iran’s missile arsenal, naval forces operating in the Persian Gulf, and an external operations wing known as the Quds Force, which manages proxy relationships and expeditionary activities across the region. 

Personnel estimates vary, but the core force alone includes roughly 125,000–190,000 troops depending on how one counts its branches. 

That still does not capture the full system.

Because beneath the IRGC sits another layer.

The Basij is Iran’s paramilitary network. It operates as a volunteer militia integrated into the IRGC command structure.

Roughly 90,000 members serve in active roles, while hundreds of thousands of reservists can be mobilized in crisis. 

Iranian sources report membership numbers far larger (into the millions).

The Basij functions less like a conventional military formation and more like a distributed internal security grid. They appear in neighborhoods, universities, factories, and provincial towns.

Their primary purpose is not fighting foreign armies. It is preventing internal collapse.

Now the logic becomes clear.

The Artesh protects the nation. The IRGC protects the revolution. The Basij protects the regime from society itself.

These institutions overlap, monitor each other, and answer ultimately to the Supreme Leader rather than to civilian political institutions. The structure is intentionally redundant and opaque. 

In practical terms, it means a coup becomes extremely difficult. Any faction attempting to seize power would have to overcome not one security apparatus but several.

This architecture also complicates foreign invasion.

You are not fighting a single army. You are fighting a system.

Add the pieces together and the scale becomes obvious.

Roughly 350,000 personnel in the regular army.

Around 190,000 troops in the IRGC.

Tens of thousands of Basij regulars with hundreds of thousands more mobilizable.

The total security ecosystem exceeds 600,000 active forces and can expand toward one million personnel when reserves and paramilitaries are included. 

This does not even account for Iran’s population base of nearly 90 million people, providing a manpower pool larger than many European countries combined. 

The Taliban fielded roughly 40,000 fighters during the war that exhausted the United States over two decades.

Iran’s organized security forces exceed that figure by an order of magnitude.

And unlike the Taliban, Iran controls:

- ballistic missile arsenals

- an indigenous drone industry

- a navy capable of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply flows

- regional networks of allied militias

In other words, the battlefield would not be confined to Iran itself.

It would radiate outward across West Asia and the global energy system.

So why doesn’t anyone simply invade Iran?

Because the question assumes the objective is military victory.

The real challenge is political control.

Invading Iran would not resemble the swift overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2003. It would look more like a vast insurgency across a mountainous country nearly four times the size of Iraq, defended by a security apparatus designed explicitly to prevent regime collapse.

The architects of the Iranian state studied history carefully.

They watched what happened to governments that relied on a single army.

Then they built a machine where the armies watch each other.

And where an invader would face not one war... but several, layered inside the same country.



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