Who really controls Kurdistan’s gas? The Dana Gas deal, the KRG’s silence and the hidden cost of selling energy to Iraq

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By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis      A $2.239 billion arbitration settlement, a contract running until 2049, expanded rights for Pearl Petroleum and a new battle over gas sales to Baghdad are raising uncomfortable questions about who ultimately controls Kurdistan’s most strategic natural resource. The latest dispute over Khor Mor gas is exposing a much deeper problem in the Kurdistan Region’s energy sector: the public still does not appear to have a clear picture of who controls the region’s gas, who is authorized to sell it, and how much of its future value has already been committed to private companies. At the center of the controversy is Pearl Petroleum, the consortium led by Dana Gas and Crescent Petroleum, and a settlement agreement reached with the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) on August 30, 2017. Kurdistan Parliament member Kawa Sheikh Ali has now sharply criticized that agreement, asking why a government would effectively commit its natural ...

Mossad reportedly gave Kurds arms seized from Hamas, Hezbollah, to use against Iranian regime


The Kurdish Card Returns: Reports that Israel transferred captured Hamas and Hezbollah weapons to Kurdish forces expose a deeper geopolitical strategy: transforming Iran's Kurdish frontier into a pressure point against the Islamic Republic and reshaping the balance of power across the Middle East.

By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj

Sulaimani, Iraqi Kurdistan — Kurdish Policy Analysis

In an effort to bring about the fall of the Iranian regime, the Mossad spy agency, working with the CIA, carried out an initiative to arm Kurdish militias with weapons seized in conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah, according to Hebrew media reports.

The reports by Channel 12 and Ynet, which did not cite sources, emerge days after David Barnea stepped down as Mossad chief after five years in the role.

Under the plan, the Kurds received financial assistance and vehicles, and were armed with small arms, anti-tank launchers, grenades and mortar bombs. The Mossad was responsible for delivering the weapons and ammunition to the Kurds, the reports say.

There have been reports since late March of a US-Israeli plan for Kurdish militia forces to enter Iran early in the campaign against Tehran, in the hope of spurring a rebellion that would bring down the Islamic Republic.

But leaks to the media, lobbying by international actors — including Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan — and wariness among the Kurds themselves reportedly led US President Donald Trump to pull the plug on the idea.

Trump has himself said that the US tried to transfer weapons to protesters against the Iranian regime via the Kurds, but appeared to accuse Kurdish separatists of keeping the weapons for themselves.

For decades, Iran has relied on geography as one of its greatest strategic advantages. Protected by mountains, vast territory, and a network of regional proxies, the Islamic Republic developed a security doctrine designed to keep conflict far from its core territories.

Today, that assumption is increasingly under challenge.

Recent reports published by Israeli media and cited by the Times of Israel claim that the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad, allegedly working alongside the CIA, transferred weapons seized from Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon to Kurdish militias for potential use against the Iranian regime. According to the reports, the effort formed part of a broader strategy aimed at destabilizing Tehran from within.

Whether the operation occurred exactly as reported remains disputed. Several Iranian Kurdish opposition groups have publicly denied receiving weapons from Israel or the United States.

Yet the significance of the story lies not merely in the alleged weapons transfers themselves, but in what they reveal about evolving strategic thinking in Washington, Tel Aviv, Ankara, Tehran, and Kurdistan.

The Kurdish question has once again emerged as a central variable in Middle Eastern geopolitics.

The Logic Behind the Kurdish Option

Since the outbreak of direct conflict between Israel, the United States, and Iran in 2026, strategists have faced a persistent challenge. Airpower can damage infrastructure. Sanctions can weaken economies. Cyber operations can disrupt command systems.

But regime change requires pressure from within. This is where Kurdish opposition groups become strategically attractive. Iran's Kurdish regions have historically experienced tension with Tehran. Several Kurdish political organizations have long opposed the Islamic Republic and maintain networks both inside Iran and across the border in Iraqi Kurdistan. These groups possess local knowledge, established structures, and an ability to challenge Iranian authority in regions difficult for Tehran to fully control.

For Israeli planners, Kurdish groups represent one of the few organized anti-regime actors capable of creating internal pressure while external military operations continue. The concept is not new. Throughout modern Middle Eastern history, Kurdish movements have repeatedly served as geopolitical leverage points for regional and international powers. The difference today is that Iran faces simultaneous external and internal challenges at a scale not seen since the early years of the Islamic Republic.

Weapons From Hamas and Hezbollah: A Symbolic Transformation

If the reports are accurate, the alleged transfer of weapons captured from Hamas and Hezbollah carries strategic symbolism far beyond their military value. For decades, Tehran invested heavily in constructing what became known as the "Axis of Resistance." This network included:

  • Hezbollah in Lebanon
  • Hamas in Gaza
  • Iraqi militias
  • Syrian proxy formations
  • Yemeni Houthi forces

The purpose was straightforward: project Iranian influence while keeping threats away from Iranian territory. Now, according to the reports, weapons once belonging to those same proxy networks may have been redirected toward forces potentially hostile to Tehran itself.

From a geopolitical perspective, this represents a remarkable reversal. The tools of Iran's regional strategy would effectively be turned against the regime that helped arm its allies in the first place. Whether the operation ultimately occurred is less important than the message it sends. Israel increasingly views the battle against Iran not merely as a military confrontation but as a struggle over internal regime stability.

Why Turkey Matters

One of the most revealing aspects of the reports concerns Turkey. According to Israeli media accounts, President Recep Tayyip ErdoÄźan allegedly pressured President Donald Trump to halt broader plans involving Kurdish forces. If accurate, Ankara's intervention would be entirely consistent with its long-standing strategic priorities.

Turkey views armed Kurdish movements through the lens of national security. Regardless of whether Kurdish groups operate in Iraq, Syria, or Iran, Turkish policymakers remain concerned that successful Kurdish autonomy movements elsewhere could influence domestic Kurdish politics within Turkey.

This creates an unusual geopolitical alignment. Despite profound disagreements between Turkey and Iran on numerous issues, both states share an interest in preventing the emergence of powerful armed Kurdish entities along their borders. That shared concern limits how far external powers can push the Kurdish option.

The Iranian Kurdish Denials

The public denials issued by several Iranian Kurdish organizations deserve careful consideration. Leaders from major Kurdish opposition groups rejected reports that they had received Israeli or American weapons, describing the allegations as false. There are several possible explanations.

The reports could be inaccurate. The transfers may have involved groups not publicly identified. Or operational security considerations may discourage public acknowledgment.

Historically, covert relationships involving intelligence services and non-state actors rarely become transparent in real time. Regardless of which explanation proves correct, the denials highlight the political sensitivities surrounding Kurdish involvement in regional conflicts. For many Kurdish organizations, maintaining legitimacy requires avoiding perceptions that they function as foreign proxies.

The Strategic Vulnerability of Iran's Western Frontier

The larger issue extends beyond weapons deliveries. Iran's western frontier represents one of the regime's most vulnerable geopolitical spaces. Unlike Tehran's heavily protected central regions, Kurdish areas combine:

  • Difficult terrain
  • Existing opposition networks
  • Cross-border connections
  • Historical grievances
  • Limited state control in remote areas

For external powers seeking leverage against Tehran, these characteristics create opportunities unavailable elsewhere. Reports over the past several months have repeatedly suggested discussions between Israeli and American officials and Kurdish opposition groups regarding possible future operations. Although no large-scale Kurdish offensive materialized, the concept itself illustrates how military planners increasingly view internal Iranian dynamics as central to any long-term strategy.

Kurdistan's Strategic Dilemma

For the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, these developments create significant challenges. The Kurdistan Region maintains complex relationships with:

  • The United States
  • Turkey
  • Iran
  • Israel
  • Baghdad

Any escalation involving Iranian Kurdish groups risks placing Iraqi Kurdistan at the center of a regional confrontation. Local leaders understand the dangers. Iran possesses substantial influence across Iraq and retains the capacity to respond politically, economically, and militarily to perceived threats originating from Kurdish territory. As a result, Kurdish policymakers must carefully balance opportunities for expanded regional influence against the risks of becoming entangled in a broader conflict.

The Future of the Kurdish Front

Whether or not Mossad actually transferred captured Hamas and Hezbollah weapons to Kurdish fighters, the report reveals an important strategic reality. The Kurdish factor has returned to the center of Middle Eastern power politics.

For Israel, Kurdish groups represent a potential internal pressure mechanism against Iran. For Iran, Kurdish regions remain a persistent security concern. For Turkey, Kurdish mobilization continues to shape regional calculations. For the United States, Kurdish forces remain a potential—but politically sensitive—partner.

And for the Kurds themselves, every geopolitical opportunity comes with significant risks. The history of the Middle East is filled with examples of major powers embracing Kurdish allies during crises and abandoning them when strategic priorities shift. That lesson remains highly relevant today.

Conclusion

The alleged Mossad operation represents more than a story about captured weapons. It reflects a broader transformation in how regional powers view the struggle against Iran. The battlefield is no longer confined to missile strikes, cyberattacks, or proxy wars in Lebanon and Gaza. Increasingly, attention is turning toward Iran's internal fault lines.

Among those fault lines, none may be more strategically significant than the Kurdish question. As the confrontation between Iran, Israel, and the United States evolves, the mountains of Kurdistan may once again become one of the most important geopolitical frontiers in the Middle East.

#Kurdistan #Iran #Israel #Mossad #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #IranWar #Kurds #KurdishPolitics #NationalSecurity #Turkey #CIA #MiddleEastConflict #StrategicAffairs #ForeignPolicy

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