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Iran’s diplomacy strategy: negotiation as leverage, not concession

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  By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis     Tehran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz raise a larger question: when Iran enters negotiations, is it seeking a settlement—or buying time to reshape the battlefield? Iran’s advocates of diplomacy often present negotiations with Tehran as the obvious alternative to escalation. Their argument is straightforward: pressure creates instability, while dialogue can produce compromise. Yet that argument becomes considerably more complicated when examined against the historical behavior of the Islamic Republic. Iran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz reveal how Tehran may use diplomacy, coercive leverage and negotiations to divide opponents, extract concessions and buy time.  The central question is not whether Iran is willing to talk. It clearly is.  The more consequential question is what Tehran seeks to achieve by talking . A long record of Iranian engagement with the United States and regional powers suggests ...

Iran-Backed Militias Launch Pre-Emptive Strikes to Secure Political Future

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As Baghdad, Erbil, and U.S. forces tread carefully, militias allied with Tehran escalate attacks, fearing the collapse of Iranian influence in Iraq.  Iraqis allied to Iran are now extremely anxious about their political and security future if Tehran were to fall, For that reason, they are seeking a pre-emptive blow that may preserve something of their political future. ERBIL ( Kurdish Policy Analysis ) – Iran‑aligned armed groups in Iraq have escalated attacks against Kurdish forces, U.S. installations and government targets in what analysts describe as a pre‑emptive campaign to secure their political future amid fears of Tehran’s weakening position , raising tensions across the country’s fragile political and security landscape. Militias with close ties to Tehran – including factions within the state‑affiliated Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) such as Kataeb al‑Nujaba and Iraq’s Hezbollah – have carried out more than 1,000 attacks across Iraqi territory in recent weeks ,...

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