After the American Shield: What the US Withdrawal Means for Iraqi Kurdistan and Iraq’s New Security Order
US withdrawal reshapes Iraq’s security order, exposing Kurdistan to new risks while testing Baghdad’s sovereignty and defence capacity. Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj The United States is preparing to complete the withdrawal of its remaining military forces from Iraq by September 30, closing a 23-year chapter that began with the 2003 invasion and evolved into a long-term counterterrorism partnership. For Baghdad, the departure represents the restoration of sovereignty and the transition toward a bilateral security relationship. For Erbil, however, the same event is being experienced through a fundamentally different security lens. The immediate question is not whether Iraq should possess greater sovereignty, but what happens to the security architecture that has protected the Kurdistan Region while that sovereignty remains contested in practice. The withdrawal therefore exposes a strategic contradiction at the centre of post-ISIS Iraq: Baghdad is gaining greater formal control over national ...