From the shadows to supreme power: why Iran chose Ahmad Vahidi to lead its confrontation with the United States

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By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis Who Is Ahmad Vahidi? The Secretive IRGC Commander now shaping Iran's confrontation with the United States From the founding of the Quds Force to commanding the Revolutionary Guards, Ahmad Vahidi's rise signals a new era in Iran's military-led decision-making. As Tehran braces for a prolonged confrontation with Washington, one of Iran's most secretive and hardline military figures has emerged at the center of power—signaling a dramatic shift in how the Islamic Republic intends to wage its geopolitical struggle. Who is Ahmad Vahidi? Explore the rise of Iran's IRGC commander and how his growing influence could reshape Tehran's strategy toward the United States and the Middle East. For decades, Ahmad Vahidi remained largely behind the scenes, shaping Iran's military doctrine and regional strategy away from the public spotlight. Today, however, he stands at the heart of Iran's national security apparatus, overs...

Why Iraq uses the U.S. Dollar: the hidden architecture of financial power and economic dependence


By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis
 

How Washington's control over global finance made the U.S. dollar indispensable to Iraq—and why breaking that dependence may prove far more difficult than policymakers expect.

Why Iraq depends on the U.S. dollar despite its vast oil wealth. An analysis of how Washington's financial system shapes Iraq's economy, trade, and sovereignty.

Why Iraq Uses the Dollar

Despite possessing one of the world's largest proven oil reserves, Iraq remains one of the most dollar-dependent economies in the Middle East. Every fluctuation in the U.S. currency reverberates across Iraqi markets, influencing food prices, imports, salaries, inflation, and even political stability.

This dependence is often misunderstood as merely an economic necessity. In reality, Iraq's reliance on the U.S. dollar is the product of a financial architecture built after the 2003 invasion, reinforced by global energy markets, and maintained through the international banking system.

The dollar is not simply Iraq's preferred foreign currency—it is the backbone of Iraq's financial relationship with the world.

Understanding why Iraq uses the dollar requires examining how post-war reconstruction, oil revenues, banking regulations, international trade, and U.S. monetary oversight became deeply intertwined.

A Dollarized Economy Long Before 2003

Although the U.S.-led invasion fundamentally reshaped Iraq's financial system, Iraqis had already begun using dollars extensively during the sanctions era of the 1990s.

Years of hyperinflation severely weakened confidence in the Iraqi dinar. Businesses increasingly priced goods in dollars, savings shifted into foreign currency, and the dollar gradually became the preferred store of value.

Following the collapse of Saddam Hussein's government in 2003, the United States institutionalized rather than reversed this trend.

Instead of eliminating dollarization, Washington incorporated it into Iraq's reconstruction strategy.

Rebuilding Iraq Around the Dollar

After 2003, the Coalition Provisional Authority faced an immediate challenge: restoring confidence in Iraq's economy before inflation and financial instability triggered further unrest.

The solution centered on the U.S. dollar.

The new Iraqi banking system was rebuilt with assistance from the U.S. Treasury Department, international financial institutions, and the United Nations.

Several major initiatives cemented this relationship:

  • Introduction of a modern Iraqi banking system
  • Stabilization of the exchange rate
  • Creation of the Development Fund for Iraq
  • Establishment of the Trade Bank of Iraq
  • Reconstruction contracts denominated largely in U.S. dollars
  • Oil revenues routed through dollar-based financial channels

These policies allowed Iraq's economy to function while simultaneously integrating it into the global dollar system.

Oil Is Sold in Dollars

Perhaps the single most important reason Iraq relies on the U.S. dollar is simple:

Oil exports are almost entirely priced in dollars.

Since oil accounts for roughly 90 percent of Iraqi government revenue, virtually every public salary, infrastructure project, and government expenditure ultimately originates from dollar-denominated oil sales.

The process works like this:

  1. Iraq exports crude oil.
  2. Buyers pay in U.S. dollars.
  3. Revenues enter accounts connected to the U.S. financial system.
  4. The Central Bank of Iraq converts part of those dollars into Iraqi dinars.
  5. Government salaries and domestic spending are financed from those revenues.

Because the source of national income is denominated in dollars, the entire financial system naturally revolves around the U.S. currency.

The Federal Reserve's Hidden Influence

One of the least understood aspects of Iraq's economy is the role of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

For years, Iraqi oil revenues have been deposited into accounts managed within the U.S. financial system.

This arrangement provides Washington with enormous oversight over Iraqi dollar flows.

The objective is officially to:

  • combat money laundering,
  • prevent sanctions evasion,
  • block terrorist financing,
  • increase transparency,
  • protect Iraq's financial system.

However, this oversight also gives Washington significant leverage over Iraq's economy.

When access to dollars is restricted, Iraqi markets immediately experience shortages.

The 2022 Dollar Crisis

This vulnerability became highly visible in late 2022.

The U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve introduced stricter verification requirements for Iraqi dollar transfers.

Banks were required to submit detailed electronic documentation proving the legitimacy of international payments.

Large numbers of transfer requests failed to meet the new standards.

Reports suggested that nearly 80 percent of dollar transfer requests were initially rejected.

The consequences were immediate:

  • the Iraqi dinar weakened sharply,
  • import costs increased,
  • inflation accelerated,
  • commercial activity slowed,
  • public frustration intensified.

Within weeks, exchange rates moved from approximately 1,470 dinars per dollar to nearly 1,650 dinars in parallel markets.

The episode demonstrated that Iraq's monetary stability depends not only on domestic policy but also on decisions taken in Washington.

Why Businesses Prefer Dollars

Private companies throughout Iraq overwhelmingly prefer conducting major transactions in dollars.

Several reasons explain this behavior.

First, the dollar maintains greater purchasing power than the dinar during periods of inflation.

Second, imported goods—including electronics, machinery, vehicles, pharmaceuticals, and industrial equipment—are purchased internationally in dollars.

Third, foreign suppliers generally trust dollar payments far more than local currencies.

Finally, Iraqi businesses often maintain savings in dollars to hedge against future exchange-rate volatility.

As a result, the dollar functions not only as a trading currency but also as Iraq's preferred financial safety net.

Banking Reform and Financial Transparency

The Central Bank of Iraq has gradually modernized its banking sector in response to U.S. pressure.

Major reforms include:

  • electronic currency auctions,
  • digital verification systems,
  • stricter anti-money-laundering procedures,
  • enhanced customs verification,
  • tighter oversight of commercial banks.

These reforms are designed to improve transparency and align Iraq with international banking standards.

Supporters argue that stronger regulation will reduce corruption, strengthen investor confidence, and improve access to global financial markets.

Critics, however, argue that the transition has been costly for businesses accustomed to less regulated financial practices.

Can Iraq Reduce Its Dependence?

Many Iraqi policymakers increasingly seek ways to diversify away from the U.S. dollar.

Several options are frequently discussed:

Trading in Local Currencies

Expanding bilateral trade with countries willing to settle transactions in local currencies.

Greater Use of Alternative Currencies

Increasing transactions in euros, Chinese yuan, or other international currencies.

Diversifying Banking Channels

Reducing dependence on a limited number of correspondent banks.

Expanding Domestic Production

Producing more goods locally would reduce import demand—and consequently reduce demand for dollars.

Financial Diplomacy

Negotiating exemptions or more flexible arrangements with Washington while preserving access to international financial markets.

Yet each alternative carries significant challenges.

The global financial system remains overwhelmingly dollar-based, particularly in energy markets.

Why Leaving the Dollar Is So Difficult

Calls to abandon the dollar often underestimate the scale of Iraq's integration into global finance.

Changing reserve currencies requires:

  • rebuilding payment systems,
  • negotiating new trade agreements,
  • creating trusted financial infrastructure,
  • attracting international banking partners,
  • maintaining investor confidence.

Without these foundations, rapid de-dollarization could destabilize Iraq's economy more than it strengthens it.

For this reason, most economists advocate gradual diversification rather than abrupt replacement.

The Geopolitical Dimension

Dollar dependence also reflects geopolitics.

The United States retains substantial influence over international banking, sanctions enforcement, and cross-border financial transactions.

Countries seeking alternatives often face practical obstacles because much of global trade still passes through institutions connected to the U.S. financial system.

For Iraq, whose economy depends overwhelmingly on oil exports and imported consumer goods, complete financial independence remains unrealistic in the near term.

The country's challenge is therefore not necessarily abandoning the dollar but reducing excessive vulnerability to external monetary decisions.

Conclusion

Iraq's dependence on the U.S. dollar is rooted in far more than convenience. It is the product of two decades of post-war reconstruction, the dominance of dollar-denominated oil markets, and the architecture of the global financial system.

The 2022 dollar restrictions exposed just how deeply Iraqi economic stability is linked to decisions made in Washington. While banking reforms have improved transparency and brought Iraq closer to international financial standards, they have also highlighted the country's limited monetary autonomy.

Reducing this dependence will require years of structural reforms, stronger domestic industries, diversified trade partnerships, and sophisticated financial diplomacy. Until then, the U.S. dollar will remain not only Iraq's principal trading currency but also one of the most influential instruments shaping its economic and political future.

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#Iraq #USDollar #FederalReserve #Oil #Economy #Banking #MiddleEast #Energy #Geopolitics #CentralBank #Finance #IraqiDinar #Trade #GlobalEconomy #EconomicSecurity

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