From the shadows to supreme power: why Iran chose Ahmad Vahidi to lead its confrontation with the United States

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By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis Who Is Ahmad Vahidi? The Secretive IRGC Commander now shaping Iran's confrontation with the United States From the founding of the Quds Force to commanding the Revolutionary Guards, Ahmad Vahidi's rise signals a new era in Iran's military-led decision-making. As Tehran braces for a prolonged confrontation with Washington, one of Iran's most secretive and hardline military figures has emerged at the center of power—signaling a dramatic shift in how the Islamic Republic intends to wage its geopolitical struggle. Who is Ahmad Vahidi? Explore the rise of Iran's IRGC commander and how his growing influence could reshape Tehran's strategy toward the United States and the Middle East. For decades, Ahmad Vahidi remained largely behind the scenes, shaping Iran's military doctrine and regional strategy away from the public spotlight. Today, however, he stands at the heart of Iran's national security apparatus, overs...

How Iraq's Budget Works: Understanding the Architecture Behind Iraq's Public Finances

 

By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis 

From oil revenues and public salaries to infrastructure spending and fiscal politics, here's how Iraq's federal budget is designed—and why it shapes every aspect of the country's economy.

A comprehensive guide to how Iraq's federal budget works, including oil revenues, expenditure, budget preparation, ministries, and financial governance.

How Iraq's Budget Works

Every year, Iraq's federal budget becomes the country's most important political and economic document. It determines how nearly every dinar generated from oil exports will be collected, distributed, and spent. It decides how many teachers, soldiers, doctors, and civil servants will be paid, which infrastructure projects will move forward, and how much funding will be allocated to provinces, the Kurdistan Region, and state-owned enterprises.

In Iraq, the budget is more than an accounting exercise—it is a reflection of political compromise, economic priorities, and the balance of power among competing institutions. Because Iraq remains one of the world's most oil-dependent economies, fluctuations in global crude prices can dramatically alter the state's fiscal position within months.

Understanding how Iraq's budget works is therefore essential for understanding Iraqi politics, governance, and economic stability.

What Is Iraq's Federal Budget?

The federal budget is the Iraqi government's annual financial plan that estimates:

  • Expected government revenues.
  • Planned government expenditures.
  • Public investment priorities.
  • Operating costs of the state.
  • Borrowing requirements.
  • Fiscal deficit or surplus.

Prepared by the Ministry of Finance in coordination with the Ministry of Planning, the budget is reviewed by the Council of Ministers before being debated, amended, and approved by the Council of Representatives (Parliament).

Once enacted into law, it becomes the legal framework governing public spending throughout the fiscal year.

Where Does Iraq's Money Come From?

The Iraqi economy is overwhelmingly dependent on oil.

Approximately 90–95% of federal government revenues originate from crude oil exports, making Iraq one of the most oil-dependent countries in the world.

Major sources of revenue include:

Oil Revenues

  • Crude oil exports
  • Petroleum-related fees
  • State participation in energy projects

Non-Oil Revenues

  • Customs duties
  • Income taxes
  • Corporate taxes
  • Fees and licenses
  • Border crossings
  • Telecommunications
  • Public company profits

Despite repeated reform efforts, non-oil revenues remain relatively limited, leaving Iraq highly exposed to volatility in international oil prices.

Two Main Types of Government Spending

Iraq's budget is divided into two principal categories.

1. Operational Budget

This finances the day-to-day functioning of the state.

It includes:

  • Salaries
  • Pension payments
  • Social welfare
  • Security forces
  • Healthcare
  • Education
  • Government administration
  • Fuel subsidies
  • Maintenance

Operational expenditures consume the majority of Iraq's annual budget.

2. Investment Budget

The investment budget finances long-term development.

Examples include:

  • Roads
  • Bridges
  • Schools
  • Hospitals
  • Electricity projects
  • Water infrastructure
  • Housing
  • Oil facilities
  • Industrial development

Investment spending is designed to stimulate economic growth and improve public services.


How the Budget Is Prepared

Budget preparation begins months before Parliament votes on the law.

The Ministry of Finance coordinates requests from ministries and public institutions before consolidating them into a draft federal budget.

The process generally follows these stages:

  1. Revenue forecasting.
  2. Oil price assumptions.
  3. Spending requests from ministries.
  4. Negotiations with government agencies.
  5. Coordination with the Ministry of Planning.
  6. Cabinet approval.
  7. Parliamentary debate.
  8. Final budget law.

This process often becomes politically contentious because every ministry seeks larger allocations while total available revenues remain constrained.

The Budget Department: The Engine of Iraq's Fiscal Planning

Within the Ministry of Finance, the Budget Department serves as the central institution responsible for designing, coordinating, and implementing Iraq's federal budget.

Its responsibilities include:

  • Preparing the draft federal budget.
  • Planning operational and investment expenditures.
  • Managing staffing allocations.
  • Issuing budget implementation instructions.
  • Developing financial planning methods.
  • Preparing fiscal statistics.
  • Reviewing legislation with financial implications.
  • Coordinating spending policies across ministries.

Headed by a Director General and supported by two Deputy Directors General, the department functions as the technical backbone of Iraq's fiscal system.

The Nine Divisions That Keep Iraq's Budget Running

To manage a budget worth tens of billions of dollars, the Budget Department is organized into nine specialized divisions, each with distinct responsibilities.

1. Expenditures Division

This division oversees operational spending by preparing budget implementation instructions, reviewing the financial impact of legislation, and advising ministries on authorized spending within approved allocations.

2. Revenues Division

Responsible for forecasting government income, collecting revenue data from ministries, improving non-oil revenue policies, establishing new revenue accounts, and preparing revenue estimates for the federal budget.

3. Staffing Division

Manages government employment structures by approving staffing plans, reviewing organizational frameworks, authorizing job grades, and overseeing transfers of positions between ministries.

4. Monitoring Operating Expenditures Division

Supervises adjustments to operational spending during the fiscal year, including transfers from emergency reserves, allocation of grants and donations, and responses to spending inquiries from government entities.

5. Monitoring Investment Expenditures Division

Monitors public investment projects by transferring emergency funds for new projects, coordinating with the Ministry of Planning, approving changes in project allocations, and incorporating grants for development initiatives.

6. Budget Preparation Division

Often regarded as the heart of the budgeting process, this division develops expenditure strategies, compiles financial data, negotiates ministry spending requests, drafts the annual Budget Law, prepares supplementary budgets when needed, and establishes administrative classifications.

7. Public Sector Budgets Division

Oversees planning budgets for state-owned enterprises and self-financed public institutions. It reviews annual financial plans, approves staffing structures, evaluates operating requirements, and supervises transfers affecting public companies.

8. Coordination and Statistics Division

Produces statistical analyses on staffing structures, employment levels, job grades, and inter-ministerial personnel transfers to support evidence-based fiscal planning.

9. Computing Division

Provides the technological infrastructure for Iraq's budgeting process by managing electronic budget systems, recording financial transfers, generating statistical reports, printing official budget documents, and maintaining digital financial databases.

Together, these divisions ensure that Iraq's federal budget is not simply approved but continuously managed, monitored, and updated throughout the fiscal year.

The Role of Parliament

Although the Ministry of Finance prepares the budget, Parliament has the constitutional authority to review, amend, and approve it.

Members of Parliament frequently negotiate over:

  • Provincial allocations.
  • Kurdistan Region funding.
  • Public employment.
  • Infrastructure projects.
  • Social benefits.
  • Oil revenue assumptions.
  • Borrowing limits.

Budget debates often become some of the most politically sensitive sessions in Iraq's legislative calendar.

Why Oil Prices Matter So Much

Because oil finances the overwhelming majority of government spending, Iraq's fiscal health is directly tied to global energy markets.

When oil prices rise:

  • Government revenues increase.
  • Budget deficits shrink.
  • Infrastructure projects expand.
  • Public salaries become easier to finance.

When prices fall:

  • Revenue declines.
  • Budget deficits widen.
  • Borrowing increases.
  • Development projects are delayed.
  • Fiscal pressures intensify.

This dependence makes diversification one of Iraq's most urgent long-term economic priorities.

The Budget's Impact on Daily Life

The federal budget affects virtually every Iraqi citizen.

It determines:

  • Civil servant salaries.
  • Pension payments.
  • Healthcare funding.
  • Education budgets.
  • Electricity investments.
  • Road construction.
  • Water services.
  • Security expenditures.
  • Provincial development.
  • Support for the Kurdistan Region.

For many Iraqis, the budget is the primary mechanism through which the state delivers public services and economic opportunities.

Challenges Facing Iraq's Budget

Despite ongoing reforms, Iraq's budget continues to face structural challenges:

  • Heavy dependence on oil revenues.
  • High public-sector wage bills.
  • Limited non-oil revenues.
  • Political disputes over spending priorities.
  • Delays in budget approval.
  • Weak implementation capacity.
  • Exposure to global energy price volatility.

Addressing these issues will require fiscal discipline, economic diversification, improved tax collection, and stronger public financial management.

Conclusion

Iraq's federal budget is far more than an annual spending plan—it is the foundation of the country's governance, economic management, and political bargaining. Built around oil revenues and administered through a highly structured Budget Department, it finances everything from salaries and pensions to infrastructure and national development projects.

While the existing framework provides a comprehensive system for planning and managing public finances, its effectiveness ultimately depends on transparent implementation, efficient institutions, and the country's ability to reduce its overwhelming dependence on oil. As Iraq seeks to diversify its economy and strengthen fiscal resilience, reforming the budget process will remain central to achieving long-term economic stability and sustainable development.

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