Who really controls Kurdistan’s gas? The Dana Gas deal, the KRG’s silence and the hidden cost of selling energy to Iraq

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By Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj | Kurdish Policy Analysis      A $2.239 billion arbitration settlement, a contract running until 2049, expanded rights for Pearl Petroleum and a new battle over gas sales to Baghdad are raising uncomfortable questions about who ultimately controls Kurdistan’s most strategic natural resource. The latest dispute over Khor Mor gas is exposing a much deeper problem in the Kurdistan Region’s energy sector: the public still does not appear to have a clear picture of who controls the region’s gas, who is authorized to sell it, and how much of its future value has already been committed to private companies. At the center of the controversy is Pearl Petroleum, the consortium led by Dana Gas and Crescent Petroleum, and a settlement agreement reached with the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) on August 30, 2017. Kurdistan Parliament member Kawa Sheikh Ali has now sharply criticized that agreement, asking why a government would effectively commit its natural ...

Tehran Mural Featuring Mojtaba Khamenei Fuels Succession Speculation

 


Public Display Intensifies Questions Over Iran's Leadership Amid Persistent Rumors. Tehran Unveils Mojtaba Khamenei Mural Amid Leadership Speculation


Dr. Pshtiwan Faraj, Sulaimani, Iraq, April 2026 — Iranian authorities have unveiled a prominent new mural featuring Mojtaba Khamenei in central Tehran, a move likely to intensify speculation over Iran's leadership dynamics and succession planning.

The mural, installed in one of the capital's main public squares, follows a longstanding Iranian tradition of using public art to honor senior political and military figures. Such displays often carry symbolic political messages beyond simple commemoration.

This particular installation, however, comes at a moment of heightened uncertainty.

Symbolism and Succession

Mojtaba, the influential son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, has long been viewed by analysts as a potential successor, despite the absence of any formal hereditary mechanism within Iran's political system.

His growing public visibility has repeatedly fueled debate over whether Tehran is gradually preparing domestic opinion for an eventual transition.

In Iranian politics, symbolism rarely happens by accident.

Rumors and Information Warfare

Recent weeks have seen unverified rumors circulating on social media regarding Mojtaba Khamenei's health and political status. Iranian authorities have firmly rejected such claims, insisting that he remains active and involved in state affairs.

No credible independent sources have confirmed reports of his death or incapacitation.

In opaque political systems, uncertainty often becomes a strategic battlefield of its own.

Why the Mural Matters

The decision to prominently feature Mojtaba at such a sensitive moment may serve several purposes:

  • projecting continuity within the ruling establishment,
  • countering destabilizing rumors,
  • and reinforcing elite cohesion during a period of regional and domestic tension.

Public iconography in Iran frequently functions as political signaling aimed as much at internal audiences as at foreign observers.

Strategic Implications

If Mojtaba Khamenei is indeed assuming a larger public role, it would represent one of the clearest indicators yet of succession management inside the Islamic Republic.

Such a transition would carry enormous implications for Iran's domestic power structure, regional posture, and relations with the West.

Yet Tehran's political system remains deeply factional, and succession is never merely a matter of family lineage.

It is a contest among institutions.

The Bottom Line

The mural does not confirm succession.

But it does confirm something equally important: Iran wants people to think about Mojtaba Khamenei.

And in Tehran, controlling the conversation is often the first step toward controlling the outcome.

Tags: #Iran #MojtabaKhamenei #Tehran #MiddleEast #Succession #Geopolitics #IranPolitics #KurdishPolicyAnalysis

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